A Microsoft está morta?*


*Publiquei o artigo abaixo em abril de 2007. Impressionante como continua atual:

Para Paul Graham, sim:

A few days ago I suddenly realized Microsoft was dead. I was talking to a young startup founder about how Google was different from Yahoo. I said that Yahoo had been warped from the start by their fear of Microsoft. That was why they’d positioned themselves as a “media company” instead of a technology company. Then I looked at his face and realized he didn’t understand. It was as if I’d told him how much girls liked Barry Manilow in the mid 80s. Barry who?

Microsoft? He didn’t say anything, but I could tell he didn’t quite believe anyone would be frightened of them.

Paul Graham in Microsoft is dead

Segundo ele, quatro são os motivos que levaram a empresa de Redmond a capitular:

  1. Google.
  2. Ajax.
  3. Internet de alta velocidade
  4. Apple.

Continua dizendo que a maior fraqueza da Microsoft é não ter percebido que o mundo mudou: enquanto insiste em concentrar seus esforços em aplicações para desktops, coisas como os serviços da Web 2.0; o SOOSGoogle Docs; etc., começam a surgir no horizonte e cooptar, cada vez mais, o interesse dos usuários.

Hugh MacLeod, por sua vez, faz uma observação crucial:

30 years ago, Microsoft asked themselves a very clever question: How do we make a profitable company, based on the assumption that all hardware will one day be free? I suppose they need to ask themselves another question now: How do we make a profitable company, if people no longer need or want the desktop?

Microsoft’s issue is not a lack of financial, technical and intellectual capital. They have all that stuff in spades. Microsoft’s issue is cultural.

Certamente a Microsoft não morreu pois ainda possui muito lastro para queimar e permanecer com a cabeça acima da linha d’água, porém, em certos aspectos, lembra-me os dinossauros, os gigantes do passado: É enorme; imponente e poderosa mas, no presente, não assusta mais ninguém.

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